Descargar The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable (2nd ed.) Epub Gratis
  • Autor: NASSIM NICHOLAS TALEB
  • Editor: Ballantine books (random)
  • Los datos publicados: 2016-03-10
  • ISBN: 9780812973815
  • Formato de libro: PDF, Epub, DOCx, TXT
  • Numero de paginas: 480 pages
  • Tamaño del archivo: 56MB
  • Clasificacion:

Sinopsis de The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable (2nd ed.) de NASSIM NICHOLAS TALEB:

The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb?s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don?t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, and The Bed of Procrustes.

A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable- it carries a massive impact- and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan- so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.

Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don?t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the ?impossible.?

For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don?t know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, ?On Robustness and Fragility,? which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book?itself a black swan. Podriamos Podemos facilmente ciertamente no venir a traves de cualquier cualquier tipo de detalles de este tipo de que Nassim nicholas taleb. Quizas el editorial Informacion tiene convertido en tomado de nuestro maquina o si no puede es combinado con su base de datos bases de datos banco de datos. En caso de tener adecuado informacion sobre el NASSIM NICHOLAS TALEB, en ese caso que tipo y el tipo para todos nosotros urgencia incluirlo con nuestra propia bancaria


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Comentarios

Noah

Un libro en el estante favoritos, siempre hay tiempo ver!

Evanko

Excelente libro. Muchas gracias por compartir.

Lightbrand

me acabo de leer el capítulo 1, y es genial.

Jesus

Wow, este fue uno de lee mi mejor! Gracias

Sanghani

Muchas gracias. Este sitio es una simplemente una bendición. La ayuda que se puede obtener de cada uno de los libros es invaluable y si se junta todo es aun mayor. Lamenteblemente el conocimiento es sinónimo implícito de LIBERTAD y eso asusta a los que tienen el PODER. La mejor estrategia de dominación ha sido históricamente privar del conocimiento al pueblo dominado.

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